Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.164378 0.193566 0.226181 0.265292 0.310887 0.362334 0.424760
2025-10-05 0.126389 0.165606 0.214031 0.278082 0.360433 0.462612 0.598884
2025-10-12 0.106660 0.151244 0.210502 0.294716 0.410992 0.565524 0.786117
2025-10-19 0.090819 0.137489 0.203407 0.302785 0.448235 0.652657 0.961007
2025-10-26 0.077171 0.123743 0.193120 0.303246 0.472809 0.722946 1.118637
2025-11-02 0.064458 0.108930 0.178468 0.294142 0.480602 0.767933 1.242316
2025-11-09 0.053409 0.094779 0.162447 0.279998 0.477673 0.794759 1.339215
2025-11-16 0.047014 0.087246 0.155816 0.279730 0.496265 0.856452 1.497212
2025-11-23 0.040496 0.078439 0.145698 0.271902 0.500635 0.894435 1.618845
2025-11-30 0.036919 0.074392 0.143262 0.277036 0.527729 0.973122 1.817841
2025-12-07 0.033174 0.069447 0.138475 0.277087 0.545314 1.036416 1.995392
2025-12-14 0.029231 0.063515 0.131014 0.271008 0.550472 1.077270 2.135347
2025-12-21 0.025943 0.058652 0.125420 0.268732 0.564395 1.139134 2.328297
2025-12-28 0.024532 0.057589 0.127412 0.282214 0.611643 1.270790 2.673113
2026-01-04 0.023532 0.057262 0.130862 0.299137 0.667919 1.426249 3.082571
2026-01-11 0.021902 0.055227 0.130324 0.307327 0.706646 1.550144 3.440701
2026-01-18 0.019888 0.051956 0.126566 0.307795 0.728523 1.641104 3.739149
2026-01-25 0.017483 0.047330 0.119039 0.298559 0.727432 1.682620 3.934971
2026-02-01 0.015089 0.042327 0.109896 0.284210 0.712654 1.692220 4.060654
2026-02-08 0.013770 0.039919 0.106733 0.283939 0.731029 1.778114 4.368611
2026-02-15 0.012214 0.036610 0.100835 0.275997 0.729724 1.818352 4.574418
2026-02-22 0.011444 0.035367 0.100095 0.281205 0.761757 1.940444 4.987783
2026-03-01 0.010522 0.033536 0.097536 0.281257 0.780604 2.032634 5.338014